Friday 31 August 2012

Champions League Preview

The greatest, most prestigious club competition in the world is upon us; yes, that’s right, the Champions League draw has taken place signalling the start of the tournament is near. The draw itself was a lively one to say the least, with some brilliant ties lined up, including the usual ‘Group of Death’. I’m here to guide you all through the ins and outs of each group and make my customary pre competition predictions.

Group A:
Porto
Dynamo Kyiv
PSG
Dinamo Zagreb

At a glance, Group A would probably be considered the most open group, although I’m sure PSG would consider themselves favourites for the group. FC Porto will also fancy their chances of progression as the group’s top seeds, meaning that technically, they should be favourites. Don’t rule out the two Dynamos though, Croatia and Ukraine will not be easy places to travel to for any side in Europe.

Prediction:
1)PSG
2)Porto

Group B:
Arsenal
Schalke
Olympiacos
Montpellier

Group B was relatively kind to Arsenal. They were able to avoid the big sides from the other pots and also don’t have any big away trips to prepare for. I think if most people are being honest then they expect this group to be a battle for second place, with Schalke, Olympiacos and Montpellier all evenly matched sides. Montpellier making their debut in the tournament will not expect much, although there’s no doubt that they see that this is a fantastic opportunity, and one that must be seized.

Prediction:
1)Arsenal
2)Schalke

Group C:
Milan
Zenit
Anderlecht
Malaga

Group C is a similar group to Group B in the fact that the top seeds are undisputable favourite’s, however the other three sides will certainly expect to qualify for the knockout stages. Malaga will be hoping that they can put their money problems behind them and progress through the next round. Zenit have also spent big money to get here, and the Russian giants will hope that they can say it was money well spent come December.

Prediction:
1) Milan
2) Malaga

Group D:
Real Madrid
Manchester City
Ajax
Dortmund

Group D is without a doubt the group everybody has their eyes on, ‘The Group of Death’ it has been dubbed; with all four sides champions of their respective leagues, the nickname is well deserved. I’m certain that Manchester City would’ve been hoping for a slightly easier draw being in pot two to begin, however having gained vital Champions League experience last year, Mancini’s men will have confidence of progressing. Another side hopeful of qualifying is Dortmund; they were given a tough group last season and were unable to progress, but similarly to City they have grown in experience and should be dark horses.

Prediction:
1) Real Madrid
2) Manchester City

Group E:Chelsea
Shakhtar Donetsk
Juventus
Nordsjaelland

Chelsea have been handed a tough draw in Group E, Juventus the main contenders to progress from this group as the winners. Juventus will pose a big test for the Champions of Europe in the start of their defence, however I do think that Chelsea will progress will relative ease. Shakhtar Donetsk however will not be an easy place to go too for either of those big two, expect a shock result in Ukraine.

Prediction:
1) Chelsea
2) Juventus

Group F:
Bayern
Valencia
Lille
BATE

Group F looks to me as though it could be wide open; Bayern the favourites, but Valencia and Lille will be no pushovers for them. Bayern will know that having been in two CL finals in recent years, they are expected now to reach the very latter stages of the competition regularly; if that is a help or a hinderance we’ll soon see. Lille are my dark horses for progression from this group. They have a very good squad and have also moved forward as a side a lot recently, despite the loss of several key players.
Prediction:
1) Bayern
2) Lille

Group G:
Barcelona
Benfica
Spartak Moskva
Celtic

Barcelona have been handed a tricky group with three well organised teams who should be hard to beat. Benfica proved how good they were last season, almost knocking Chelsea out of the competition only to be beaten by a late Raul Meireles. Spartak Moskva are also a team with the potential to get out of the group.

Prediction:
1) Barcelona
2)Benfica

Group H:
Manchester United
Braga
Galatasaray
CFR Cluj

Finally, Group H, and Manchester United should be fairly pleased with their draw. Braga have plenty of Europa League pedigree, however are fairly new to the Champions League scene. This should work to United’s advantage as well as the fact that the trip to Portugal isn’t too hard on the players. Also Galatasaray are another favourable side, no real threat to a side of the calibre of Manchester United.

Prediction:
1) Manchester United
2) Braga

Tuesday 28 August 2012

The Best League in the World?

Which league is the best in the world?
The age old question which has been on everyone’s minds at least once, will be revisited in this blog to try and give a statistical view to decide whether La Liga or the Premier League is better. I’ll take into account such things as the number of different teams to have broken into the top four, the difference between first and fifth, their European successes and failiures and much more.

So, I’ll begin by talking through the depth in quality of the league. The first point to mention here is how many teams have broken into the top two. In La Liga, there’s been a total of 7 different clubs to finish in the top four; this in comparison to the Premier League where only six different sides have achieved a Champions League spot. This statistic disproves the vastly believed theory that in England, the league is more spontaneous; anything can happen in any game, and any team can finish as high as they aspire. Also, despite the fact that everybody stands by the quote of La Liga being ‘a two team league’, in the 2007-2008 season, Barcelona were a staggering 10 points adrift of second place Villarreal; Villarreal now consequentially languishing in the Liga Adelante. These stats just go to show how crazy the Spanish leagues can be. In the English leagues, what is never mentioned is that Manchester United have finished in the top two every year for the past five, alongside Chelsea who’ve been there for three of those five. It’s only now that City have been given a major cash injection that those two can expect a regular competitor at the top of the league, below those, it’s anybody’s guess as to what happens.

Now to show the difference in class between the top side, and the top side outside of ‘The Big Four’. In Spain, the gap currently stands at around 30 points per season. Compare that total alongside the Prem, which is 24 points a season. This shows that the difference between the top sides in England can be closed quicker than in Spain, the top sides in England also have a tendency to be able to get results against each other; something you don’t see outside of ‘El Clasico’ too often in Spain.

Next up, we'll see how well these leagues are represented on a continental scale. I’ll begin with the English sides, and they’ve actually done very well in recent years, With Chelsea and Manchester United having both won the trophy, and United also having had two other final appearances which they lost out in. England has had representation in the Final in four of the last five seasons; the best record of any nation in Europe. So although Spain now can’t live up to the dizzy heights of our European exploits, Barcelona have represented Spain in a final twice in recent times; winning on both occasions. Real Madrid had also came close with three Semi Final appearances since 2008. These statistics show me that although the English sides have been better represented, both nations have had their fair share of successes; these are emphasised even more so by an additional stat that no side away from England and Spain have won the tournament since AC Milan beat Liverpool in 2007.

My penultimate point in this discussion is about how open and adaptable the two leagues are. I’ll measure this by looking at the numbers of newly promoted clubs that have survived in their first seasons. In the Premier League, over the five seasons I studied, 10 sides were able to stay up, that’s an average of 2 out of 3 sides staying up. A great survival rate and a one that shows the league is very competitive and easy to adapt too. La Liga had an identical record making all the new clubs ambitious of their chances when they make the step up.

Now finally on to the winners, and it seems that in the Premier League it takes near enough 85-90 points a season to win the title. That points total works out solely at 30 wins a season, when you look it that way, it shows you how dominant they big clubs are, and contrary to popular belief, it also show the big sides rarely drop points to the little clubs. Compare that with La Liga though, and it seems miniscule. In the last three Liga campaigns, the title winner has clocked up over 95 points, and in one of those seasons, Madrid hit 96 points as the runners-up! Truly staggering when you consider that the 100 points of last season for Real would require 33 wins and a draw. Phenomenal.

Right. Now that all of the facts and figure have been accounted for, I think that it’s fair to say that both leagues are able to outclass each other in individual aspects, but on the whole, I cannot look past our very own, Barclays Premier League as the best league in world football. The pace our game is played at, the competitive nature between the top sides, mixed in with the gritty determination at the bottom is unrivalled. The way last season ended may never be eclipsed in any league in the world for drama; to win the league on the last day is enough of a task, but to score twice in stoppage time is nothing short of a miracle. So yes, I truly believe, that we see the very best league in the world, live in our own country.

Friday 24 August 2012

Premier Predictions

West Ham Vs Swansea
Both these sides got off to a perfect start last week with great wins in the respective games. West Ham beat Aston Villa in a very good performance away from home, and with their own fans behind them on Saturday, Sam Allardyce's Hammers will fancy their chances of victory.

Swansea also got off the mark in style, taking the points from QPR in Michu inspired hammering by Five goals to zero. Michael Laudrup will be instructing his side to repeat everything they did at The Liberty Stadium last week, and I'm sure Michu hopes to repeat his antics too.

Prediction - West Ham 1-2 Swansea


Aston Villa Vs Everton
Paul Lambert's Villa didn't quite get off to the start he would've wanted, after a 1-0 defeat at Upton Park last Saturday. However, I'm sure if there's any manager who knows how to make up for his mistakes, it's Lambert. Villa will no doubt take the game to Everton, and Darren Bent and Charles N'Zogbia's contributions will be vital; if they perform, Villa perform.

However they'll face a stern test in the form of Everton, whose confidence will be at an all time high following their win over Manchester United on Monday. In that game Marouane Fellaini was instrumental in everything that happened. Everton will be hoping for another big performance from the Belgian on Saturday.

Prediction - Aston Villa 1-2 Everton


Man United Vs Fulham
Man United need to recover well from the disappointment of Monday night, and Fulham may well be caught up in the crossfire. Robin van Persie didn't get off to the perfect start either, and having only made the bench on Monday, surely he'll start on Saturday.

Fulham, however, began the season completely opposite to United, beating Norwich City 5-0 at Craven Cottage last weekend and looking imperious in doing it. So, despite 'The Red Devils' seeking revenge, Mladen Petric and will have something to say about it.

Prediction - Man United 2-1 Fulham


Norwich Vs QPR
This should be a very interesting match-up, both teams on the wrong end of 5-0 batterings last week, and will need to turn it around. Norwich are still settling under Chris Hughton it seems, and that may mean another tough game in store.

QPR are also in a period of transition at the moment, Mark Hughes has put a mark on the side with a whole host of new signings, including Junior Hoilett and Ji Sung Park. These players need time though, they haven't gelled yet and may take a while longer.

Prediction - Norwich 1-0 QPR

Southampton Vs Wigan
Southampton showed plenty of promise last week when they played Champions Manchester City. They came across as a good footballing side and kept the ball well. This could make for an exciting game with Wigan who also have a possession based philosophy and come full time, it'll be a case of who can keep the ball better in my opinion.

Prediction - Southampton 2-2 Wigan


Sunderland Vs Reading
Sunderland picked up a very good point at Arsenal last weekend, and after the signing of Steven Fletcher, they may be able to take the confidence from that into the game against Reading. With Fletcher upfront, the attacking line will be a lot more potent and Reading will no doubt be wary of this.

Reading also earned a point last weekend, and they nearly took another in midweek when then took a shock lead against European Champions Chelsea. Pavel Pogrebnyak and Garath McCleary were integral parts of the side that played Chelsea, if they link up well again, the Sunderland back four will have a job on their hands.

Prediction - Sunderland 2-1 Reading

Tottenham Vs West Brom
Tottenham can have mixed feelings over their loss to Newcastle last weekend. A good performance under AVB, but poor finishing, and ill-discipline let them down. Ahead of the West Brom game however, Emmanuel Adebayor completed a permanent move to the Lane, a move that Villas-Boas hopes can bring some goals to the side.

West Brom had a dream start to life under Steve Clarke; hammering Liverpool 3-0 on the opening day. Romelu Lukaku scored for Albion that day, and his and Peter Odemwingie's partnership will be pivotal to success on Saturday.

Prediction - Tottenham 2-1 West Brom

Chelsea Vs Newcastle
Chelsea have had the perfect start to the new season, having played two and won two. Eden Hazard has been vital in the early run of form, getting three assists and winning two penalties, but Newcastle United will provide a whole new test for the Londoners.

Alan Pardew's Newcastle also began the 2012-13 season well, Hatem Ben Arfa continuing from where he left off last season and helping his side to a 2-1 win over Spurs. However with the side having played Atromitos just two days before this Chelsea game, jet lag and fatigue will play a part in already a hard game at the Bridge.

Prediction - Chelsea 1-0 Newcastle

Stoke City Vs Arsenal
Stoke City will be ruing giving away that last minute penalty to Reading last week, three points on the opening day always give you that psychological edge, although I'm sure they'll be keen to make it up this weekend. New signing Michael Kightly will need another top performance if things are to go the Potters way.

Arsenal also need to pick up three points, after drawing blank at home to Sunderland last weekend. Lukas Podolski wasn't able to score last week, although I'm sure this week he'll be doing his utmost to open his account for the Gunners.

Prediction - Stoke City 0-2 Arsenal

Liverpool Vs Man City
Liverpool were left shell shocked at The Hawthorns last weekend, Brendan Rodgers' men were embarrassed 3-0 and had Daniel Agger sent off to make matters worse. So to face City on the back of that result, and with no Agger, a positive result seems unlikely. If they are to do the impossible though, Luis Suarez's finishing will no doubt be a decisive factor, if he is accurate, they have a chance.

As for Manchester City's chances, losing Sergio Agüero has dealt them a blow, but I'm sure Carlos Tevez and Edin Džeko will step up to the plate. Also, the back three of City were tested a few times last week, if they are still a little shaky, then that could be the downfall of the Citizens.

Prediction - Liverpool 1-3 Man City

How Good Is Victor Moses

With all of the rumours linking Victor Moses with a move away to Chelsea, I decided it would be interesting to focus on just how good a player he really is, and whether he is good enough for a team like Chelsea. I’ll take into account how his career has evolved so far and how much further it can go. I’ll talk about whether his style of play will fit into the Chelsea side and whether he could realistically break into the starting 11 at a big club. Finally I’ll talk about his consistency and whether he was really as good as everyone says he was last season.

Moses began his career at Crystal Palace as a youngster where his talent shone out greater than his teammates. He was at the club for four years, and in that time he had drawn interest from the likes of Liverpool, Manchester City, Newcastle United and Wigan. It was Wigan who managed to beat those big names to get his coveted signature; a signature forced out of Palace’s hands due to Administration looming over them. So in 2010, Moses made his debut for the Latics as a substitute in a 1-1 draw. He went on to make 14 appearances that year, scoring once and assisting three times. This was the start of player going to be crucial in the clubs fight for survival in the coming years. This showed that the mental application to make the step from Championship to Premier League wasn’t a problem and that his has the mind frame to succeed.

So, we’ve established that Moses has what it takes to succeed mentally, but is he technically-gifted enough to reach to the top? Well last season for Wigan, he put in many a man of the match effort, earning constant plaudits for his pace, skill and ability to go past several players with consummate ease. However, I and I’m sure a lot of other people think that Moses has a long way to go before he reaches his full potential, although moving to a bigger club might just be the way to coax it out of him.

Last season, Moses was considered one of Wigan’s best players, but it was also claimed he only really shone during the end of season run-in. I thought it would be good to take a statistical look at how consistent he was through the season. From those stats shown, I’d say that in the first 10 games Moses played, he had a bigger influence on the game from the Wing. He was creating more chances, completed more accurate passes and was able to take on more men. When looking at the stats on the right however, I’d say all in all, he influenced the game just as much, only this time in an individual way. He was unable to create as much for his teammates, and his ball retention was poor in comparison to the start of the season, but he managed to score 3 goals this time, and he also had more Shots on Target.

Friday 17 August 2012

Premier Predictions - Week One

With the new season starting tomorrow, I decided it would be a good idea to try and predict the outcome of this weekends fixtures, and that means starting at the top:

Arsenal Vs Sunderland - The news ahead of this game is that Alex Song is set to complete his transfer to Barcelona; this meaning that he won't be available for selection. That obviously goes along with Robin van Persie's departure yesterday. So with all those players being unavailable who can play? Well new boys Santi Cazorla and Lukas Podolski are likely to start, but Olivier Giroud will only make the bench. One of the keys to this game will be how the players react to the upheaval of two star players in the same week. If they can keep their heads straight then the three points will be no problem.

Sunderland however, will dispute this. Martin O'Neill and his men had a good second half to last season which is something they are undoubtedly looking to build on. With new signing Louis Saha hoping for a start, I'm sure he can have an influence on the score line as well.

Prediction - Arsenal 3-1 Sunderland

Fulham Vs Norwich:
This will be an interesting game, as both of these sides have had a fairly big summer. Fulham having sold on several strikers and having lots of big name departures, Clint Dempsey and Moussa Dembelé to name a couple. With Dempsey refusing to play, it seems that moral may be down and because of this I think it could be a struggle, and game the fans will need to see them through.

As for Norwich, well after Paul Lambert left for Villa at the start of the summer, Chris Hughton was given the chance to be a Premier League manager again. He had to get down to business fast though, with Grant Holt's contract situation a major part of the summer. But getting his signature took the club in the right direction, and they'll be upbeat and ready for kick off come 3:00 PM.

Prediction - Fulham 0-0 Norwich

QPR Vs Swansea:
Now this is a game I'm looking forward to. QPR have had another summer filled with players going in and out; it didn't work for them last season, so how Mark Hughes can get the team to gel should be interesting. However aside from those players gelling, he has generally signed a few top players. Take Park-Ji Sung and Bosingwa, both have Champions League winners medals and vast experience, and that experience will rub off on the likes of Fabio and Junior Hoilett.

Swansea also need to get used to new surroundings fast. The new manager Michael Laudrup has brought in some top players, most notably Michu from Rayo Vallecano for €2m; this could well be the deal of the summer if it comes off. Laudrup will also implement the same style of possession, attacking football that 'The Jacks' are used to, so expect frustration for QPR.

Prediction - QPR 2-2 Swansea

Reading Vs Stoke City
This game marks The Royals' return to the Premier League, Five years since they last started a season here. Brian McDermott's men have a good record on the Premier League's opening day, having won one game and drawn the other, and he'll be hoping to keep the unbeaten run alive this season. With Stoke City visiting though, they'll have their work cut out. New signings Danny Guthrie, Pavel Pogrebnyak and Garath McCleary have looked sharp in Pre-Season and if they take it into the game against the Potters, then Tony Pulis' men will have a tough game instore.

As for Stoke City's chances, well they've been quite quiet in this transfer window, only signing Michael Kightly. Due to the competition for places, Kightly may need to hit the ground running or Jermaine Pennant and Matthew Etherington will be chasing his place in the side down. However Peter Crouch keeping up his good form of last may well be key to getting a result.

Prediction - Reading 0-2 Stoke City

West Brom Vs Liverpool
West Brom have had a mixed summer, with highs of signing Romelu Lukaku on loan and keeping most big players. The downside is, however, that last seasons' manager Roy Hodgson left for England, leaving his assistant Steve Clarke to take charge. Whether he'll be able to match Hodgson's success may become apparent in this game.

Liverpool also have a new manager, the only difference is, that Liverpool's managerial switch was their own choice. Brendan Rodgers' side will frustrate West Brom, with plenty of possession, however the question is, can they start converting the chances they wasted last year?

Prediction - West Brom 1-3 Liverpool

West Ham Vs Aston Villa
West Ham are back following a one season absence, and Sam Allardyce has gone into the transfer market showing his intent to stay up. Against Villa they'll have their credentials tested to the full and they will have to be fired up to a maximum if they're to get anything.

Aston Villa are now a refreshed and revitalised club. The new manager Paul Lambert has stamped his authority on the squad and no doubt we'll see him implement his attacking football against 'The Hammers'

Prediction - West Ham 1-2 Aston Villa

Newcastle Vs Tottenham
Alan Pardew's men will have to be at their best when AVB's new-look Tottenham side visit Tyneside. With not many signings, but also no departures, you wouldn't bet against a similar lineup from Newcastle as it was last season, although don't be shocked if they are to go 4-4-2 to suit Demba Ba's needs.

As for Spurs, well you can expect a totally different approach to the game. You can look forward to the ball being played out the back Barcelona-esque, and a 4-2-3-1 style formation. New signings Gylfi Sigurdsson and Jan Vertonghen could be crucial players, if they do well, Spurs have a good chance of three points.

Prediction - Newcastle 1-1 Tottenham

Wigan Vs Chelsea
Roberto Martinez's Wigan pulled off a spectacular escape from relegation last season, defying belief after they'd seemed gone around March. Victor Moses was crucial in that survival run, however it looks as though he could be off to Chelsea before the end of the window, either way he could be the turning point in this one.

Chelsea have had a great summer. After signing Champions League winning manager Roberto Di Matteo to a full contract, they also signed Eden Hazard and Oscar, as well as Marko Marin. These new signings could be the key to unlocking the Wigan defence.

Prediction - Wigan 1-4 Chelsea

Man City Vs Southampton
Manchester City will be looking to build on the maiden Premier League title last season by sending a message to the rest of the league, and to do this they will need David Silva and Sergio Agüero firing on all cylinders, this as well as the team settling into the new new 3-4-1-2 formation.

Southampton. Poor Southampton; they've been given the mammoth task of a trip to the Ethiad on the opening day. I don't think anyone expects them to get anything, me included. If they are to do something though, new £7m signing Jay Rodriguez may lend a hand in it.

Prediction - Man City 5-0 Southampton

Everton Vs Manchester United
David Moyes will be a little bit disheartened by their open day fixture, especially when you take into account their usual 'slow start' to the season. However, despite a game against United is never being easy, I'm sure that Moyes will think his team can upset Fergie's men.

Manchester United will travel to Goodison Park with a new player in their squad; Robin van Persie. This signing will surely give everyone that little boost and adrenaline rush to drive a team to victory. United will also have Shinji Kagawa in their ranks, another game-changing player, who will help this seasons title push no end.

Prediction - Everton 1-2 Manchester United.

Monday 13 August 2012

Barclays Premier League - Season Preview 2012-13

After a 97-day wait, from that Fairytale end to last season (unless you're a United fan), this weekend the Premier League returns. The weekly highs of following your team is a thing that cannot be matched by anything. Whether you support a team down at the bottom of the table, fighting against Relegation, or if you have the good fortune of following a side chasing the glory of the title; the rush of that you feel by 4:45 on Saturday is enough to get any man, woman or Child through a tough, working week.

Now down to business. And a couple of obvious questions, that everyone will be thinking about. Firstly, can anyone steal Manchester City's title from them? Well, I certainly think that Man United have made an astute signing in Shinji Kagawa. Kagawa will give United the extra creativity that they have lacked in the attacking midfield role over the past season or two. He will run at defenders with the ball, he can play those killer passes into the areas behind the defence, and he will almost certainly chip in with nice goal tally. Let's not forget as well though, that the current pursuit of Robin van Persie will give United arguably the best strike force in England, only contested by close neighbours Man City. And with van Persie, Sir Alex will be sure of being fired to another League title. Now Man United aren't the only side who've made the right signings. Chelsea have been this summers biggest spenders, splashing around £65m on new faces, most notably, Eden Hazard. The big question with Hazard, is how he settles. If he's able to gel in with his teammates early, and doesn't feel the pressure of the £35m fee, then he will have the whole world talking about him, for the right reasons. Another factor is the enigma that is, Fernando Torres. If Torres can score the goals that Didier Drogba has scored in previous years, then I know, that Chelsea will have a strong season. Finally, the only other genuine title contenders, in my mind, could be Arsenal. The question is, can Wenger keep RvP? If he doesn't then the good signings of Podolski, Cazorla and Giroud will surely be overshadowed. But Wenger can also use this to an advantage, with everyone writing them off, the underdogs might just feel the pressure is off, and with that, play their best possible football. Also, if those aforementioned new signings have the pressure taken away, this will help shorten the settling in period, and give them a quicker impact.

Right then, now that I've talked about the top of the table, it's only fair I get on to the bottom. I think that this season, there are 5 main candidates, although a couple more may easily slip into the mire.

First of all, I think Wigan are in for another tough season. Roberto Martinez has done a good job there, but I think with the newly promoted teams faring much better in recent years, it's going to keep getting harder for Wigan to stay up. If they are to stay in the Premier League though, it will be in no small way down to the impact of loan signing Ryo Miyaichi. Miyaichi is a player with a lot of potential, and a loan spell at a club like Wigan will serve well, just like it did for Tom Cleverley two season ago. The next team I think will be engulfed in a relegation battle is Southampton. They are new to the league, and with them having played in League 1 as recently as two seasons ago, it'll take a big effort to stay up, especially when you take into account that they haven't signed many players with Premier League experience, although if Norwich could stay up in this blueprint; I'm sure Southampton will fancy their chances as well! Thirdly I think Norwich may be in for a hard year. With Paul Lambert having left, and the chance of 'Second Season Syndrome' kicking in, Chris Hughton is going to be reliant on a fast start to life at Carrow Road. Also, after Grant Holt handed in a transfer request only to sign a new contract, it could be interesting to see whether he'll take his foot off the gas now and won't feel he has a point to prove. One things for sure, Holt and Morison, will be big players for Hughton over the next nine months. My next choice is a tough one. But, I think another team who'll get stuck down at the wrong end of table, are West Brom. Roy Hodgson gave them the stability that they craved, and now that he's gone, it could prove a make or break season for the Baggies. The way that Roy set them up defensively was the biggest attribute to the side, with not conceding goals and being effective on the counter attack his philosophy. Whether Steve Clarke can continue the good work is the all important question. So finally, onto the final candidate for the drop. Reading. I've chose Reading; not because I think they are a bad team, but more because they have a very hard start to the season. With a game against Stoke to kick off with, and then Chelsea, Tottenham and Newcastle all within their first six games, it could put them into a downward spiral, which is hard to recover from in the top flight.

Now for the usual lottery of predictions.

Firstly, Who Will Win the League? Well I genuinely think Chelsea will give a big challenge but Man United will prevail.

The Three to Go Down?
I can't see past Wigan and Southampton for relegation; the third spot, however will be a long, arduous battle, and one that I think West Brom may will lose out in.

Top Scorer?
A few contenders, but I think Sergio Aguero will hit top form again and this time beat the rest. RvP however could be a challenger, if injury free.

The Signing to Have Biggest Impact?
Although there are a few, in my opinion it will be Santi Cazorla. For Arsenal, he will be the player that makes things happen, how he plays will be key.

Finally, the 'Surprise Package'?
Queens Park Rangers are my pick here. I've chose Rangers because they've been signalling their intent for the new season by making plenty of signings, with Premier League experience.

With all of these opinions, only time will tell if I'm right. One thing I know for sure though, the new season will have all the thrills and spills of last season, with plenty more on the way.


Saturday 11 August 2012

Here We Go Again

As the new Premier League season draws ever closer, we will get our first taste of competitive action between two of the top sides in England. Yes, that's right, the Community Shield is upon us, with Manchester City facing Chelsea today at Villa Park. This game is usually seen as a mix between a Pre-Season game, and a game to give some clue as to how the big clubs may do this year.

Another thing that's interesting to see, is just how well the new signings will adapt. In Chelsea's case, this means Eden Hazard and Marko Marin (Oscar being away due to Olympics). From what I have seen of Hazard, I think he will have no problems fitting into the Premier League, although a cold night at the Britannia may be one step too far. However in general, I think that the trickery, and quick footedness of Hazard will be too much for most defenders. As for Marko Marin? Well I think that he also has the necessary attributes to succeed in England. He's another creative player, who loves to get inside and test the 'Keeper. However, where all of the new boys will fit in at the Bridge, is the important question. With Hazard, Oscar and Marin all coming in, and Mata and Ramires at the club to begin with, it's going to be a tough job keeping them all happy.

Well, from the excitement of new signings at Chelsea, to the lack of activity at the Etihad. Yes, City's inability to do any business in this window may have some fans considering their chances of glory with a little more pessimism this year. But, if you ask me, their current squad is still good enough to compete with the new additions at Man United, Chelsea and Arsenal. When you consider that a new, inexperienced team could edge out United last year, surely a more, gelled team, with title experience can make just as good a push this year, and who knows, with 3 weeks to go, they can still improve on this team sufficiently.

There has been plenty of questions as to how the sides could line up tomorrow. Well let's start off by looking at City. Firstly, one thought is that City may start with a back three. We saw Italy use it to start the Euros and several Italian clubs have used a back three in the past couple of years. So has Mancini decided to join the revolution, and bring it to the top of Premier League? Well we may soon find out.

Now for Chelsea, and it seems highly likely that they'll line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. This should see the likes of Mata, Ramires, Hazard and Marin contesting to play in the line behind a striker, most likely being Torres. However the big question, is not who'll play, but more how will they play with no Drogba? Personally, I think that although having Drogba benefitted the club hugely, the lack of him can now allow the club to move forward towards a new era, one following on from the Champions League win. If this is to work, then undoubtably, how Fernando Torres plays is going to be a major decider in the success. He now has a chance to kick on at the club, and having ended the season well, and winning the Golden Boot at the Euros, his confidence should be sky high, allowing his Chelsea career to finally reach the highs his Liverpool one did.

So finally, who's going to win it? Well, this is clearly a one that could go either way. The big question is just how seriously will the sides take it? And in my opinion, the new signings of Chelsea will definitely feel they have a point to prove, and a way of forcing themselves into Roberto Di Matteo's starting XI next week. However I'm not ruling out City by any means either. I think that they'll certainly run Chelsea close, but the Blues with they're attacking prowess, will have just too much.